TSC wrote:And here's the crux of my point: all that statistical stuff above? It's meant to show that your chances of getting killed by a bear are tiny, no matter who we consider to be the relevant population. Tinier than your chances of being shot by the gun you have to protect you from bears. That's the real point. Having a handgun to protect from bears is more likely to kill you than not having one. So why the hell is that a good law?
That's the calculation I've been harping on this entire thread, by the way: look at your policy, then weigh the benefits against the drawbacks. If it's more beneficial than otherwise, it's good policy. If it isn't, it's bad policy. To base policy formulation on anything other than this calculation is irrational.
You're not comparing the numbers correctly.
Unless you think that every handgun owner is using the, handgun is protection from bears reason.
What you're doing is comparing the total statistics of all gun injuries to the number of people killed by bears.
Only a small fraction of the hand gun owners will want a handgun for protection in the wilderness.
You're lumping in them with the total. Since that number is significantly smaller the comparison is invalid.
That's why there are things called exceptions. What you're doing is invalidating any exception right at the start based on the global correlation that less guns = less gun deaths.
TSC wrote:I pretty much agree. Though I would add that since it's so startlingly unlikely you'll be harmed by a bear, and since it's so much more likely you'll be harmed by your own gun... maybe having the gun to protect yourself from bears is idiotic. And maybe any loosening of regulations with the purpose of allowing people to have guns to protect themselves from bears is thus also equally idiotic. It's just bad public policy.
Same thing I just pointed out, but I'll give you the opportunity to find me any data that states people who have a handgun for protection in the wilderness are more likely to kill themselves than save themselves.
Don't give me the global hope, I want specifics.
I gave you a specific reason for owning a handgun, give me a specific reason why they will injure those handgun owners at a higher rate than save them.
I've been shooting for about 40 years now and not once have I come close to being killed by my weapons even though they were constantly around me and I was using them. Since I'm from Australia they didn't save me from any bears but had I been raised in Alaska I'm betting they would. Mind you I have been saved by a firearm.
TSC wrote:Yep. That's precisely the regulation I'm arguing in favour of. Well, okay, I go a bit further than that, admittedly. Special handgun course and exam, a special class of licence for handguns, restrictions on storage, restrictions on transportation, restrictions on transfer of ownership, restrictions on where you're allowed to have the thing, mandatory registration, and absolutely no carrying it on your person (concealed or open) without a special permit obtained by convincing the regulator that you genuinely need to do so (say you're a Brinks truck guard or whatever).
I have no problem regulating and enforcing training as well as limiting concealed and open carry practices.
Where I have a problem is when someone tells me I can't protect myself because of laws that are so broad and anal they don't allow any exceptions even to small segments of the population by law makers who write laws that directly lead to deaths, bear (ha!!) no responsibility and claim it's all for the greater good.
I'm all for the greater good.
Telling me that somehow me owning a handgun is more likely to result in my death due to my own incompetence than it will protect me in a wilderness area against a predator is not the greater good. Its arrogance, and micro managing my risk combined with the unwillingness to take responsibility for the repercussions even if fatal.
So tell me, if I applied to get a handgun for the specific reason that I want protection while I'm in the wilderness where there are dangerous animals, how anyone can turn around and say, you can't have one because there's been too many school yard massacres in the city makes any sense whatsoever?
Now that you have data that shows that they have prevented deaths, does this change your position?
If not, how many people being saved per year by handguns will it take before it's considered legitimate by you?
From what I'm reading it seems there would have to be more lives saved than there are lives lost in the entire USA by firearms before you would consider it.
For me one is enough. It's a specific reason and limited to a small group. It has no nearing on global statistics across the USA.
Just like Australia, every time a shooting happened in the USA they tightened shooting laws. Oddly, it was then the massacres started.
The global US statistics don't relate to specific remote situations like wilderness protection any more than Australia's laws need changing by what happens in the USA.