One of my good friends is Scottish (but alas cannot vote in the upcoming election as he went to Oxford for school- those living abroad outside the UK first are eligible), and it's been fun to chat about it with him- he thinks it won't go through this time, but will if they try again in 20 years or so. To quote him, "my heart says I'd vote for independence, but my head tells me I shouldn't, so if I did have a vote I honestly don't know which way I would go."
Honestly I get it- on one level no one knows basic things like whether Scotland would be allowed to remain on the pound, and after so many years together a lot of details would get messy. But then there's a lot of history there and economics does come back into play once you realize people rarely factor in the North Sea oil money into things- if you ignore it then yes, Scotland gets something like 10% more per person than they put in, but if you put it in (and many official tallies don't as the UK Treasury considers it in another category) Scotland is actually putting in 10% more than they get in return. So it's not actually a "wow, they'd be screwed!" concept as you'd think compared other countries.
So we'll see how it goes- honestly the other thing I find noteworthy is Catalonia is really pushing for a referendum these days, but Spain keeps saying no because it's the wealthiest region and subsidizing a lot of poorer regions in Spain. I think when things are bad locals being in charge of their own destiny rather than sharing the pot becomes incredibly popular, particularly in regions that were never treated particularly well to begin with. (Last I heard the Catalans asked Spain if they could hold a referendum, Parliament refused, they plan to anyway because not like Franco will send in the tanks again.)
Finally, re: the bedroom tax in the UK, the thing to remember is unlike in the US a
lot of housing is owned by the government which is partially subsidized- it used to be well over half of all housing at one point, and is still high- meaning waiting lists are always an issue, and people were frustrated that a family whose kids moved out long ago could keep a four bedroom place indefinitely and get help for that when a young family was stuck in a place too small for them. And because the British are really into austerity these days it was an easy subsidy to cut, but it forces people to move long distances or (gasp) go to the private sector. And in a place like Scotland where unemployment is higher that stuff really matters (Scotland is the bastion of Labor- my Labor friends are concerned if Scotland leaves because then apparently they only would've won like three elections in the last century).
Yeah, I now know more about UK politics than I ever thought I would, guess it comes with the territory.
Yes, I have a life. It's quite different from yours.